Abstract

Background

Severe asthma exacerbation can be a frightening experience to the patient and physician. Despite continuous efforts to frame management guidelines and advances in treatment, severe exacerbations still occur. In order to prevent and judicious management of asthma exacerbations, we should predict them first. This study aims to evaluate distinct clinical trajectories and management outcome of patients with severe asthma exacerbations and also evaluate predictors for poor outcome.

Methods

Patients suffering from acute asthma exacerbation and presented to emergency room (forty patients) were grouped into 2 groups (groups A and B) according to severity of exacerbation. Assessment included full clinical history, laboratory investigations (including eosinophil cell count and serum IgE level), Beck’s anxiety and depression inventory scales, assessment of asthma medication adherence and control level, and peak expiratory flow measurement (at presentation, 1 and 6 h after).

Results

Fifty-five percent of patients suffered from severe and life-threatening asthma exacerbations, 63.6% of them were females. The most important predictors for severe exacerbations were SO2 < 90% at baseline (OR = 4.56; 95% CI = 3.45–7.56; P < 0.001), PEFR after 1 h (OR= 3.34; 95%CI = 1.90–4.90; P < 0.001), and uncontrolled asthma (OR= 3.33; 95%CI = 2.50–5.05; P < 0.001). Predictors for hospitalization were old age (OR = 1.11; 95%CI = 1.09–2.11; P < 0.001), uncontrolled asthma (OR = 2.34; 95%CI = 2.01–4.40; P < 0.001), PEFR after 1 h (OR= 4.44; 95%CI= 3.24–7.68; P < 0.001), and SO2 <90% at baseline (OR= 5.67; 95%CI= 3.98–8.50; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Severe asthma exacerbations can be predicted by old age, previous history of mechanical ventilation, obstructive sleep apnea, overuse of SABA, uncontrolled asthma, moderate to severe depression, eosinophilia, SO₂ <90%, and low peak expiratory flow rates.