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Integrated flood and multi-hazard susceptibility mapping in Egypt’s Red Sea Mountains using AHP–machine learning, environmental sensitivity indices, and scenario-based restoration frameworks

Research Abstract

Flash floods represent one of the most destructive hazards in arid and semi-arid regions, causing severe damage to infrastructure, livelihoods, and ecosystems. Their assessment is often constrained by limited historical flood records and rapidly changing land-use dynamics. This study develops an integrated and explainable framework for flash flood susceptibility mapping (FSM) in Egypt’s Red Sea Mountains, a coastal zone undergoing rapid urban and tourism expansion. Multi-temporal Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data were processed in Google Earth Engine using Otsu thresholding to generate dynamic flood inventories. These inventories were combined with eleven hydro-topographic and geological predictors within a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) framework using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and further enhanced by three machine learning (ML) classifiers: Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM). Model evaluation demonstrated strong predictive skill, with the hybrid AHP–RF model achieving the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.95; overall accuracy = 95%). Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) quantified predictor importance, confirming elevation, runoff volume, and drainage density as dominant drivers of flood susceptibility. Beyond single-hazard mapping, the study introduced an Environmental Sensitivity and Desertification Index (ESDI) and integrated it with FSM to produce a multi-hazard susceptibility map, revealing compound high-risk zones in coastal sabkhas and intensively cultivated floodplains. Scenario-based analyses under RCP 4.5/8.5 and SSP pathways projected significant expansion of high-risk zones under intensified climate forcing and unsustainable socio-economic trajectories. By aligning scenario outputs with the Food and Agriculture Organization) FAO (Standards of Practice to Guide Ecosystem Restoration (2025), the study bridges scientific diagnostics with actionable resilience planning. The integrated framework demonstrates that coupling AHP with ML not only improves predictive accuracy but also enhances interpretability and policy relevance. The outcomes provide critical evidence for disaster risk reduction, land-use management, and ecosystem restoration, offering a transferable model for climate-resilient hazard management in arid coastal environments across Africa and beyond.

 


 

Research Date
Research Department
Research Journal
Frontiers in Environmental Science
Research Pages
1845446
Research Publisher
Frontiers Media SA
Research Vol
14
Research Website
https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/environmental-science/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2026.1845446/full#cite
Research Year
2026

Impacts of Urban Encroachment and Agricultural Activities on Groundwater Quality and Health: Insights from Middle Egypt

Research Abstract

Groundwater is an essential resource in arid and semi-arid areas such as Upper Egypt, especially where surface water is limited or difficult to obtain. This study explores the hydrogeochemical properties, pollution levels, and related health risks of groundwater in the northern region of Assiut Governorate, Egypt. A total of thirty groundwater samples were systematically collected and analyzed through geochemical modeling, the Nemerow Pollution Index (NPI), and health risk assessment models. The findings showed that the groundwater samples had a pH ranging from slightly acidic to neutral, which aids the dissolution of carbonate minerals and increases the mobility of trace metals. Most of the water samples were categorized as hard to very hard, exhibiting high concentrations of calcium and magnesium in comparison to sodium and potassium. Bicarbonate levels were higher than those of chloride and sulfate, further supporting the notion that carbonate dissolution is the primary geochemical process, followed by ion exchange and evaporite dissolution. Four principal hydrochemical facies were identified—Ca-Mg-HCO₃, Ca-Mg-Cl, Na-HCO₃, and Na-Cl—reflecting diverse sources and interactions within the aquifer system. Human activities, including industrial and agricultural runoff, have significantly raised the levels of cadmium (Cd) and lead (Pb), with 67% of the samples classed as severely polluted according to NPI standards. Health risk analyses indicated that Cd and Pb present significant non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic threats, particularly to infants and children, whose exposure levels surpassed US EPA guidelines. Furthermore, land use/land cover (LULC) assessments using Sentinel-2 imagery from 2000 to 2024 revealed considerable urban expansion over productive agricultural land, coupled with groundwater over-extraction and deteriorating water quality. The combination of hydrochemical analysis, multivariate statistics, remote sensing, and GIS emphasizes the urgent need for groundwater protection, pollution reduction, and regulation of land use to ensure public health and the sustainability of water resources in Upper Egypt. The quality of groundwater is at risk due to swift urban growth and the expansion of agriculture. The main geochemical process observed in groundwater samples is the dissolution of carbonates. Most groundwater samples contain cadmium and lead levels that surpass the limits set by the WHO. 67% of the water samples indicate significant contamination according to Nemerow’s Pollution Index. The study area presents the greatest health risks from cadmium and lead for infants and children. The diagrams created by Piper and Gibbs illustrate the prevailing geochemical processes. From 2000 to 2024, changes in land use indicate urban expansion over productive floodplain soils. Sustainable groundwater and land use planning is supported by remote sensing and GIS. Most water samples continue to be appropriate for irrigation, even in the presence of salinity risks. Proper measures are essential to guarantee that groundwater is safe for human consumption.

Research Authors
Ahmed A. Asmoay, Eltaher M. Shams, R. Sawires
Research Date
Research Department
Research Journal
Chemistry Africa
Research Member
Research Pages
259
Research Publisher
Apringer
Research Rank
Q3
Research Vol
9
Research Website
https://doi.org/10.1007/s42250-026-01761-2
Research Year
2026

Morphodynamic analysis of longitudinal dunes and geomorphological risk assessment for development planning in the southeastern Qattara Depression using geospatial techniques

Research Abstract

The southeastern Qattara Depression is a geomorphologically active region of Egypt’s Western Desert, where longitudinal dune fields intersect major development corridors, including the New Delta Project and petroleum concessions. This study presents the first integrated multi-temporal assessment of longitudinal dune morphodynamics over 35 years (1990–2025) using satellite imagery, digital elevation data, geological maps, and climatic records. Fifty-two dunes were analyzed using morphometric and kinematic indicators. Simple dunes dominate (78.85%), while complex forms account for 21.15%. Dune volumes range from 6.42 × 106 to 4.98 × 109 m3. Strong correlations between dune dimensions and volume (r = 0.73–0.89), indicate that lateral accretion as the primary growth mechanism. Dune activity has accelerated through increasing lateral migration, longitudinal growth, and vertical accretion driven by high-energy winds and prolonged drought. An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) framework integrated the Sand Mobility Index, Normalized Difference Sand Index, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index to assess geomorphological hazard and land-use vulnerability. The resulting dune hazard, vulnerability, and sand-drift risk maps spatially classify risk. ROC–AUC validation showed excellent predictive performance (AUC ≈ 0.93). High and very high hazard zones cover 22.96% of the study area, revealing substantial threats to ongoing development.

Research Authors
Eltaher M. Shams , Sahar N.E. Tawfik , Mohamed R. Abdelzaher and Rashad Sawires
Research Department
Research Journal
Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk
Research Member
Research Pages
2717927
Research Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Research Rank
Q1
Research Vol
17
Research Website
https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2026.2717927
Research Year
2026

Ecotoxicological Impacts of Perfluorooctane Sulfonate on the Freshwater Snail Lanistes carinatus: Oxidative Stress, Neurotoxicity, and Histopathological Alterations

Research Authors
Mohamed Hamed, Mohammed Abdel-Wahab, Rashad EM Said, Alaa El-Din H Sayed
Research Date
Research Department
Research Journal
International Journal of Molecular Sciences
Research Member
Research Year
2025

Efficacy of three edible coatings on postharvest quality, and microbiology of manfalouty pomegranate arils

Research Abstract

Despite the numerous benefits of Punica granatum L., ready-to-eat pomegranate aril consumption remains limited due to rapid physiological deterioration
and microbiological spoilage during storage. This study evaluated the efficacy of natural edible coatings, Hibiscus extracts (3% and 6%), licorice root extracts
(3% and 6%), and gelatin solutions (5% and 10%) in preserving the postharvest quality of Manfalouty pomegranate (Punica granatum L.) arils harvested from
El Badary, Assiut Governorate, Egypt, during the 2024 and 2025 seasons. Physical quality attributes (weight loss, total soluble solids [TSS%], titratable acidity
[TA%], vitamin C, and anthocyanins) were assessed at 0, 7, 14, and 21 d. Microbiological analysis quantified bacterial and fungal counts (CFU/g) on nutrient
agar and Czapek's dextrose agar. Sensory properties (color, odor, taste, and texture) were rated on a 10-point hedonic scale by a 10-member panel. Results
demonstrated that higher concentrations of Hibiscus and licorice extracts significantly reduced weight loss, microbial loads, and sensory deterioration while
enhancing TSS, TA, vitamin C, and anthocyanin levels compared to controls, extending shelf life effectively. After 21 d of cold storage, Hibiscus 6% minimized
weight loss (2.93%–2.96%) vs control (3.89%–3.84%), TSS% (16.17%–16.23%) vs control (15.0%–14.9%), TA% (1.21%–1.16%) vs control (0.91%–1.07%),
vitamin C (22.87–23.53 mg/100 mL) vs control (19.92–20.53 mg/100 mL), and anthocyanins (53.30–53.46 mg/100 g FW) vs control (49.07–49.8 mg/100 g FW)
in the 2024 and 2025 seasons, respectively. Microbial counts were lowest with 6% Hibiscus extract (bacteria: 12–16 CFU/g; fungi: 5–5.67 CFU/g at 21 d vs
control 136–142.67 and 27–28.3 CFU/g) in the 2024 and 2025 seasons, respectively. The 6% Hibiscus extract limited the fungal species number from seven
species to Aspergillus niger and Penicillium expansum. Moreover, the control and gelatin showed the highest deterioration. These coatings, especially
Hibiscus, effectively extend shelf life by reducing physiological and microbial losses, supporting sustainable preservation.

Research Authors
Ahmed H.A. Mansour1, Gihan M. Ali1 and Ghada Abd-Elmonsef Mahmoud
Research Date
Research Journal
Circular Agricultural Systems
Research Member
Research Pages
e018
Research Rank
International
Research Vol
6
Research Year
2026

Green Fabrication of Aspergillus terreus–Silver Oxide Bio-Nanocomposite for Sustainable Wastewater Treatments: Synthesis, Optimization, Toxicity Assessment, and Application

Research Abstract

The discharge of azo-dye-containing wastewater from textile and related industries rep-
resents a major environmental challenge because of the persistence, toxicity, and poor
bio-degradability of synthetic dyes. Congo red dye (CR), one of the most widely used
azo dyes, poses serious ecological and public health risks when released into aquatic
ecosystems. Although numerous biological adsorbents have been investigated for dye re-
moval, the development of sustainable fungal-based nanocomposites with high adsorption
efficiency, optimized operational conditions, and verified environmental safety remains
limited. Therefore, the present work describes the development and evaluation of a novel
Aspergillus terreus–silver oxide nanoparticle (Ag2O NPs) myco-nanocomposite as a promis-
ing eco-friendly biosorbent for CR dye removal from aqueous solutions and real wastew-
ater. Aspergillus terreus (GenBank accession PX920301) isolated from dye-contaminated
wastewater, the adsorption efficiencies of dried mycelia, and the myco-nanocomposite
were compared. Myco-nanocomposite was characterized using ultraviolet visible spec-
troscopic analysis (UV/Vis), Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), and X-ray
diffraction (XRD). A. terreus–Ag2O NPs myco-nanocomposite exhibited the highest ad-
sorption efficiency 92.73%, adsorption capacity (qe) 118.7 mg/g and lowest CR dye residual
by 3.81 mg/L, while A. terreus non-autoclaved dried mycelia recorded 78.28% CR removal,
adsorption capacity (qe) 100.2 mg/g and CR dye residual by 11.39 mg/L. Adsorption
parameters were optimized using a four-factor Box–Behnken experimental design, produc-
ing a highly significant quadratic model (R2 = 0.986). The highest optimized conditions
were obtained at run 17 in which 100 mg L−1 CR dye, pH 8, 0.05 g adsorbent dosage, and
48 h contact time, with removal efficiency of 96.88%, followed by run 14 using 50 mg L−1
CR dye, pH 6, 0.05 g adsorbent dosage, and 48 h contact time, with removal efficiency of
95.79%. Phytotoxicity and microbial toxicity assays demonstrated that the treated wastew-
ater was environmentally safer than untreated CR dye, exhibiting no inhibitory effects
on representative bacteria, yeast, and filamentous fungi while improving wheat seedling
growth. Furthermore, application of the myco-nanocomposite to real industrial wastewater
achieved 94.92% decolorization. This study provides a sustainable myco-nanocomposite of
A. terreus–Ag2O NPs which represents a promising green technology for the remediation of
dye-contaminated industrial effluents and supports the development of environmentally sus-
tainable wastewater management strategies and applicability of reusing treated wastewater.

Research Authors
Ghada Abd-Elmonsef Mahmoud * , Ahmed Y. Abdel-Mallek and Rania Mahmoud Fouad
Research Date
Research Journal
Sustainability
Research Pages
7817
Research Publisher
@ MPDI
Research Rank
International Q1
Research Vol
18
Research Year
2026

MOF-like and ZIF-like sacrificial precursors for the synthesis of SnO2@C Nanocatalysts: Hydrogen generation via NaBH4 hydrolysis and antimicrobial activity against human pathogenic yeasts

Research Abstract

Hydrogen (H2) is a clean and sustainable energy carrier with high energy density, offering a viable alternative to
fossil fuels. In this investigation, MOF-like and ZIF-like Sn-BDC and Sn-ZIF coordination precursors were
employed as sacrificial templates for the synthesis of carbon-supported SnO2 nanocomposites (SnO2@C) via the
thermal carbonization at 400-600◦C. The resulting nanocomposites were then evaluated for hydrogen generation
via NaBH4 hydrolysis and for antimicrobial activity against human pathogenic yeasts. The catalysts were
characterized using XRD, FTIR, Raman spectroscopy, XPS, HRTEM, SAED, and BET analyses. Among the pre-
pared catalysts, SnO2@C-ZIF-500 ◦C showed the highest hydrogen generation rate (HGR) of 2000 mL min 1 g 1
at 45 ◦C, outperforming SnO2@C-BDC-400 ◦C (1700 mL min 1 g 1) despite its lower surface area (37.6 m2 g 1
vs. 70.9 m2 g 1, respectively). This enhanced activity is attributed to the N-doped carbon matrix (derived from
ZIF-like frameworks), which improves electron transfer and activates SnO2 sites. Kinetic analysis confirmed
faster reaction rates and lower activation energy for the ZIF-derived catalyst (49.9 kJ mol 1 for SnO2@C-ZIF-
500oC versus 60.4 kJ mol 1 for SnO2@C-BDC-400oC), highlighting the role of mesoporosity and nitrogen doping
in boosting performance. Catalysts offered almost the same activity after three cycles. The antifungal activity of
SnO2@C-BDC-400 ◦C and SnO2@C-ZIF-500 ◦C was evaluated against Candida albicans and Candida tropicalis
(0–100 μg/mL) and compared with nystatin. Both catalysts showed stronger inhibition at 100 μg/mL than
nystatin for both strains. The MIC values were lower for SnO2@C materials, indicating superior antifungal
performance. These findings demonstrate that SnO2@C catalysts are promising non-noble materials for efficient
hydrogen generation and potential antimicrobial applications.

Research Authors
Mohamed N. Goda a,* , Laila S. Alqarni a, Mohamed Khairy a,** , Yasmeen G. Abou El-Reash a, Mostafa E. Salem a, Tarek A. Yousef a, Abd El-Aziz A. Said b, Ghada Abd-Elmonsef Mahmoud
Research Date
Research Journal
International Journal of Hydrogen Energy
Research Pages
155620
Research Publisher
َ@ ELSIEVER
Research Rank
International Q1
Research Vol
242
Research Year
2026

Immunological, neurological, and intestinal changes in red swamp crayfish (Procambarus clarkii) exposed to the combined toxicity of Pyrogallol and microplastics

Research Authors
Mohamed Hamed, Rashad EM Said, Walaa M Shaalan, Heba Allah M Elbaghdady, Alaa El-Din H Sayed
Research Date
Research Department
Research Journal
Marine pollution bulletin
Research Member
Research Year
2025

Physics-constrained inverse estimation of irradiation-induced strain in He–H ion-implanted 4H-SiC using nanoindentation and finite element modeling

Research Abstract

Nanoindentation is widely used to evaluate the mechanical properties of irradiated materials; however, its potential for quantifying irradiation-induced subsurface strain remains underexplored. In this work, an integrated experimental–numerical framework based on a physics-constrained inverse modeling approach is employed to estimate the magnitude of a depth-dependent irradiation-induced strain distribution in single-crystal 4H-SiC following sequential He and H ion implantation. The approach combines depth-sensing nanoindentation, finite element modeling (FEM), and a simplex-based inverse optimization routine to calibrate a physically motivated eigenstrain profile derived from ion-damage simulations. The strain field is assumed to follow a lognormal distribution consistent with independently determined damage profiles (stopping and range of ions in matter) and is implemented in the FEM model through a depth-dependent thermal expansion formulation. By minimizing the squared error between simulated and experimental force–displacement curves, the peak tensile strain is estimated to be ∼0.91%, accompanied by an effective Young's modulus of 310 GPa and a yield strength of 16.4 GPa. Independent validation by nano-beam precession electron diffraction confirms good agreement between the reconstructed and experimentally measured out-of-plane strain profiles in both magnitude and spatial distribution. The results demonstrate that nanoindentation, when combined with physics-based inverse modeling, can provide a practical tool for quantifying irradiation-induced strain and residual stress in nuclear ceramics. This methodology offers a complementary approach to diffraction-based techniques for assessing subsurface damage in ion-irradiated materials relevant to advanced nuclear systems.

Research Authors
M. Bensalem; N. Daghbouj; J. Duchoň; B. S. Li; A. T. AlMotasem; S. Magalhães ; A. Yi; F. Munnik; Xin Ou; W. J. Weber; T.Polcar
Research Date
Research Department
Research Journal
Journal of Applied Physics
Research Pages
055103
Research Publisher
American Institute of Physics
Research Rank
Q2
Research Vol
140
Research Website
https://pubs.aip.org/aip/jap/article/140/5/055103/3400333
Research Year
2026
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